Posted by Ian Flaxman in Blog | 03/10/2018

While exporting is important to the economy, knowing which sectors make a significant contribution to US trade is a more complex consideration.

To help answer this question, we commissioned research with Global Trade Review, the trade and finance media company, to better understand the role of imports and exports in the US today.

The research reveals that food and beverage exports are expected to grow at 6.3% a year to 2021.  This is ahead of the aerospace, precious metals, automotive and pharmaceuticals sectors respectively (see figure one).

Data from the research shows food and beverage exports were worth $27.2bn in 2017 and the projected growth could generate an extra $1.7bn a year for the industry’s exports. 

Figure one: the UK’s fastest growing export sectors

Meanwhile, exports of the five fastest growing sectors were worth US$170.6bn last year. The projected growth means that these sectors could generate an extra US$4.5bn a year for US exports to 2021. 

Eat, drink and create jobs

The research also highlights the importance of the overall food and beverage sector. Food and drink manufacturing businesses accounted for $243bn in turnover and were responsible for more than 800,000 direct jobs in 2017.

It is the UK’s sixth largest export sector and the second largest food and beverage exporter globally after the US.  However, the US sector is highly domestic in focus with exports only accounting for 9% of the total production within the industry. 

In addition, the US imports an estimated 48% of the food and drink it consumes.  Imports in 2017 were worth just over $60bn giving the US a deficit of just under $33bn.  The US is the second largest importer of food and beverage by value – second again to the US.

As we can see, food and beverage businesses are important to the US economy and the industry is a significant source of export growth over the next five years. 

Looking ahead

The research indicates there are some risks for this sector, however.

First, food prices have been rising since the middle of 2017.  Some of this is the result of weaker sterling.  However, prices rose by an average of 3.4% in the six months to March this year, suggesting inflation also.  As a result, US consumers are tightening their belts.

Second, the pressure on household incomes has helped the entry of new, low cost competitors to the market.  These companies are now established among consumers and food and drinks manufacturers will need to adapt their costs and profit structure accordingly.

Third, new regulations will impact the sector. The recent sugar tax will have a short-term effect of pushing up prices while alternatives are found.  This may affect both the output of the sector and the level of imported sugar from abroad. 

But the research suggests that some of these risks will be offset by the growth in overseas markets outside of Europe.  These markets form a significant part of the sector’s export profile. 

The role of SMEs

Looking at individual firms within the sector, the research shows that SMEs account for more than half of the businesses in the food and beverage industry.

While this is encouraging, few SMEs are able to access structured finance solutions. 

So, in order for this sector and the SMEs within it to continue to succeed, they need working capital.  This is especially important within the food and beverage sector given the relatively short shelf-life of products.

It is only by providing better access to funding that we can support businesses to trade, grow and create jobs.

This article was published in Food and Drink Network magazine: https://foodanddrinknetwork-uk.co.uk/food-and-beverage-is-the-uks-fastest-growing-export-sector/